I’m familiar with the RATE project’s study on helium diffusion in zircons.
It is by far the most complex young earth claim that I’m aware of. When I was researching for my blog series on Answers in Genesis’s ten best evidences for a young earth, it took me two whole evenings to even start to get my head round what was going on. I’ve read the RATE project report, the critiques by Gary Loechelt and Kevin Henke, the RATE team’s responses to the responses, Loechelt and Henke’s responses to the responses to the responses, and so on. But I also had to do quite a bit of background reading as well. To be able to respond in detail requires an understanding of multiple areas of geology, mineralogy, crystallography, physics, chemistry and mathematics. There’s a lot of dense technical jargon involved, with terms such as Q/Q_0, a and b flying around, and it can easily leave your head spinning if you don’t have a lot of time on your hands and specialist knowledge. But hey, at least I now know the difference between gneiss and granodiorite, and on top of that I got reminded of something from my physics degree that I’d all but forgotten, but that I’ve since managed to put to good use in my day job.
Because it’s so complex, only a subject matter expert in diffusion chemistry is going to be able to do a complete, in-depth critique. However, for those of us with some scientific education but not necessarily an in depth expertise in the subject, there are some general principles that we can apply anyway.
First and foremost of these is what I call the FizzBuzz Principle. Specifically:
If there are egregious, deal-breaking technical errors in aspects of the claim that you are able to fact-check, you can safely assume that aspects of the claim that are beyond your competence will also be in error.
This is called the FizzBuzz Principle after an interview question that is common in the software development industry. In order to save costs, recruiters need to weed out candidates who can’t code their way out of a paper bag at a very early stage in the process. To do this, they ask a question based on a children’s game, “FizzBuzz”:
Print out the numbers from 1 to 100. But for every number divisible by three, print “Fizz”. For every number divisible by five, print “Buzz”. If a number is divisible by both three and five, print “FizzBuzz”.
Even entry-level developers should be able to answer this question with their eyes closed. But many candidates – some of whom even have PhDs in computer science – struggle with it.
Only if they manage to complete FizzBuzz does the interview then proceed to more advanced topics such as object oriented design patterns, regular expressions, database concurrency, test driven development, or machine learning. If they don’t, they are thanked for their time, the phone screen is cut short, and they are not invited for a second on-site interview.
So where is the FizzBuzz in the RATE project’s zircons study? Answer: accelerated nuclear decay.
Billion fold accelerated nuclear decay is science fiction. It didn’t happen, it’s as simple as that. It doesn’t take a “secular” or “materialist” worldview to see this, and you don’t have to have “been there to see it happen” either. The RATE team themselves admitted that the amount of nuclear decay they needed to accelerate would have raised the Earth’s temperature to 22,400°C. Four times hotter than the surface of the sun, and hot enough to vaporise the Earth’s crust many times over.
Don’t believe me? Here’s a link to the page in the RATE technical report where Dr Andrew A Snelling, PhD, Director of Research at Answers in Genesis, did the calculations:
If you wonder why young earthists have such a hard time getting taken seriously by scientifically literate people—including scientifically literate Christians—this is why. I remember the first time I came across their claims of accelerated nuclear decay. I was like, “They’re claiming WHAT?!!?” I later mentioned it to a young earthist friend who said he thought it was some sort of atheist parody to “discredit creationism.” I’m sorry, but when even your own supporters aren’t able to tell the difference between your own arguments and parodies of them, you have a problem.