An update for Georgia?
Interesting graph: the hospitalization rate in the over 65 group appears to have fallen, but the rate in younger people is staying pretty steady. Maybe reflecting the older group taking more precautions? Or is it a difference in the infection?
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I think it is more likely that younger people are realizing that the disease is typically easy on them. That makes it easy to get āquarantineā fatigue. (It is not really quarantine, since that refers to isolating sick people ā not well people.)
Isolating people at low risk may not make sense. Older people are the ones that should be protecting themselves, especially those with underlying conditions.
Here is the link:
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/COVID19_3.html
Young people naturally feel they are invincible. As they learn that their friends with Covid are often asymptotic or recover quickly, they are less likely to stay home.
Hi Vance,
Hospitalizations tend to lag cases and deaths tend to lag hospitalizations, so those of us outside of Georgia will just need to sit tight for a couple weeks to see what happens there.
Sadly, the hospitalizations are rising along with the confirmed cases in the much more populous states of Texas and Florida. We will have to see how long Georgia remains an outlier. For the sake of my Georgian friends and of my daughter who is a campus minister at Emory, I hope Georgia remains an outlier indefinitely.
Best,
Chris
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Yet the cdc shows hospitalizations down in Georgia.
The general question is why donāt you actually follow some epidemiologists on this?
- States open up too early and without proper precautions in place, they warned the cases will start rising. people said now the cases arenāt rising see look at the data
- and when cases start rising, people say look at the hospitalizations they arenāt going up
- and when hospitalization start rising, people say look the deaths arenāt going up
- and when deaths start going up, people say itās not as bad as X. X used to be the flu but people donāt say that anymore. I wonder what excuse people will start making soon
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Wear a mask when in public around those not domiciled with you.
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As I said, hospitalizations are a lagging trend based on case load and age/risk distribution among the cases. I hope it stays that way in Georgia, though only time will tell.
Meanwhile, here is the headline from the Sun Sentinel:
South Florida ICUs running out of beds as COVID-19 fills hospitals
Hereās the lede from the Fort Worth Star-Telegram today:
On Wednesday, Texas set a new single-day record for COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations
And a CNBC headline from Monday:
Coronavirus hospitalizations grow in 23 states as Texas admissions soar to new record
Vance - Do you really plan to keep on harping on the modestly sized state of Georgia while the much larger states of Texas and Florida are melting down? And COVID hospitalizations in 23 states threaten to burst out of control?
My current favorite homonym: āFreedumb!ā
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I quoted a CDC graph.
Arenāt there epidemiologists at the CDC?
How is quoting the CDC diverging from following epidemiologists?
Yes, CDC epidemiologists are at the CDC.
I was responding to a post by Matthew on an update of Georgia. Responding to a specific topic in a specific post by someone else is not āharping.ā
As for āmodest,ā yes, Georgians are modest and polite. But it is still the 8th most populous state in the nation and the largest (in physical size) state East of the Mississippi.
Data is from: https://gema.georgia.gov/
The CDC data you found seems to be almost two weeks out of date.
It is the most current on the CDC website.
Not the CDC site you linked. The site I linked is updated daily but itās a bit of a pain to plot the data.
I was responding to your complaint that the CDC data that I posted was old. I simply noted that I posted the most current data the CDC had available. And I earlier said that I would watch for updates.
You donāt have to wait for an update, the graph I provided is data from the state itself and is already up to date.
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