Vinnie…That is not a bad question. And I see that you have several responses below that are really intriguing. I rather like the additional thoughts of moderator Liam …and also LM77.
An article, found at etsjets.org/files , cites Bloomberg as asserting that 1 Kings 11:40 is behind Matthew 2:14-15. The author of the jets article tosses around different ideas about the placement of the verses in Matthew 2, thinking they might fit better later, but ends up leaving those verses where they are. He asserts (like others do) that Jesus’ experiences involve retracing Israel’s steps, and notes a parallel as well between the last two verses of Hosea 10 (“…when mothers were dashed in pieces with their children …At dawn the king of Israel shall be utterly cut off”) and the recording of Herod’s slaughter of male children in Bethlehem in Matt 2:16. If one can stomach that thought, then I suppose the more blatant citation of Hosea is not so out of sync with the moment.
There is also a typological approach at work here with respect to the biblical account as a whole. The relationship between prophecies or statements about individuals (at times) and larger, or national, experiences seems to be accepted by most commentators and students of the text as a whole. Edersheim said that “The history, the institutions, and the predictions of Israel run up into Him [the Messiah]”. He noted, in his The Life and Times of Jesus the Messiah, to what he called “Jewish legend” that says that redeemed Zion ( at some future point) will experience all the miracles that God performed when Israel was in the wilderness during the Exodus. (Argue with Edersheim on this.)
See, as one example, the parallels between Jesus’ 40 days in the wilderness (Matthew 4:1-11) and Israel’s 40 years in the wilderness (Book of Exodus)
The NRSV (New Oxford Annotated Bible) points to a similar technique in Exodus 4:22, “Thus says the Lord: Israel is my firstborn son.” Israel (as a nation or people-group) is referred to as a son (individual).
An article in JETS notes the use of Genesis in Hosea with prophecies given to individuals like Adam (Genesis 5:7) or Jacob (Genesis 12:25) being seen by Hosea as applying to the nation of Israel as a whole. This somewhat fits with Edersheim’s idea…as well as Matthew’s.
JETS also sees that verse in Hosea 11 in light of its relation to the entirety of that chapter so that, after Israel’s exodus (from Egypt), they fell away from God but were judged by God, though not with an absolute judgment due to His compassion (v. 8-9) with a future restoration in verses 10-11. The footnotes of Oxford Annotated describe verses 8-9 as “perhaps the Bible’s stongest affirmation of divine mercy.”
The citation of this passage in Matthew is not to suggest Jesus’ need for divine mercy, but more in line with Edersheim’s ideas.
And I don’t know if the name of the biblical book has anything to do with Matthew’s references. But there is also something to be said here (with reference to the matter of God’s restoration and compassion) to the relation between the name Hosea (means “God, Save!” or salvation) and Yeshua/Jesus (God is salvation).